For all the talk about whether the Democrats can beat Trump in next year’s presidential election, it needs to be remembered that the congressional elections are just as important. Back in 2016, when it looked as if Hillary Clinton was going to win the White House, it also looked as if the Democrats could get back their majority in the Senate. That year, largely because of partisan gerrymandering of the districts, winning the majority in the House was a lost cause for the Democrats. Somehow, though, two years later in 2018, the Democrats did manage to flip the House, even while the Republicans held onto their majority in the Senate.
In next year’s elections, which many on both sides (or maybe I should say many all across the spectrum) consider to be a battle for the nation’s soul, there are a number of closely watched races. One-third of the Senate (that is, 33 or 34 seats) must come up for election every two years, but there are some seats where it’s well known that the incumbent, either a Democrat or a Republican, will be secure. The closely watched races are the ones where both parties have something of a chance.
With that in mind, please take a look at this article from the Washington Post, dated July 12, 2019, reposted by MSN. Note that in their top ten list of Senate seats likely to change parties, number one is Doug Jones’s seat in Alabama. Back in 2014, Doug Jones, the Democrat, would not have stood a chance of winning a statewide election in that conservative Deep South state if he had not been up against Roy Moore, a Christian Right fanatic who, at the time, was being accused of having done some less-than-Christian things to young girls back in his younger days. And even then, the vote was close.
It needs to be remembered that the ideological future of the Supreme Court, and the federal judiciary in general, is at stake. Which party controls the White House will determine which federal judges get nominated, and which party has a majority in the Senate will determine which federal judges can get confirmed. Liberals, therefore, care just as much about seeing the Democrats retake the majority in the Senate as they do about who wins the presidential election. And, I would say, a lot is riding on how voters will feel personally about Donald Trump next year–and that’s anybody’s guess.