I assume we all had the story of “The Emperor’s New Clothes” read to us growing up, where nobody wants to admit to not being able to see the emperor’s clothes because anyone who can’t see the emperor’s clothes is a fool–until one boy cries out, “The emperor has no clothes!”
With Donald Trump, we’re seeing a variant on that: Scores of people who, months ago, let it be known that they could see the emperor didn’t have any clothes on are now starting to say “Oh…maybe he does.” As in, maybe it would be all right to have Donald Trump for a president after all. According to this article in Politico, that’s where the Republican establishment seems to be heading.
With Ted Cruz out of the race, it remains to be seen what will happen with his delegates. Meanwhile, though, there is only one thread of hope left for Donald Trump not to get the 1,237 delegates he needs for the convention, and that is for some revelation to come out that is so shocking that even the people who have been able to overlook or applaud all the other things about Donald Trump that make him so obviously not an acceptable choice for the White House will finally face the fact that the emperor has no clothes, and vote for Kasich. I wouldn’t put any odds on that. I think Trump had the right idea the time he declared that he could shoot somebody on Fifth Avenue and his supporters would still love him.
But if Trump gets the nomination (and by the way, when July rolls around, don’t forget my prediction that he’ll want Governor Paul LePage of Maine, a man as obnoxious as himself, for a running mate), the NeverTrump spirit among Republicans won’t be completely dead. Yes, plenty of establishment Republicans will support him, some holding their noses, but you can also expect to see an anti-Trump conservative ticket take shape. Their goal won’t be winning the election–that will be a lost cause–but rather, starting a new party. These are the doctrinaire ultra-conservatives who have right along regarded the Republicans in Congress as Republicans In Name Only (RINOs). I expect to see such a ticket. How much traction it will get remains to be seen, but I think it will be there.
If this happens, it will be a game changer, because with the Republican vote divided, more states than usual will be battleground states, including the South. And this is what really makes the African-American vote in such states crucial, and what really makes voting rights issues regarding registration crucial, because the Democrats could win some states that they wouldn’t otherwise.
As you have heard me say, while I do not usually bring my personal opinions into my teaching and my interactions with students where I teach, I draw the line at pretending to be neutral about Donald Trump. I regard him as having narcissistic personality disorder, I regard his campaign as a fascist movement, and I regard the amount of support that he is getting as bringing very great shame upon the United States of America. You can say you understand why people are angry, but to me, there is no understanding how they can think that hideous SOB can have anything good to offer this country. That’s how I feel personally, and I have no problem with anybody knowing it. I may or may not like John Kasich, but by God I hope he stays in the race long enough to give us some hope of not seeing that SOB Donald Trump get nominated in July.